Troop Reduction In J&K Unlikely Soon19 January 2010
New Delhi: Last year saw a 30% jump in terrorist infiltration along the Line of Control (LoC). This could result in increased violence by next summer in Jammu and Kashmir, the Indian security establishment has concluded. This means the possibility of further troop reduction in the troubled state would have to wait at least till the summer of 2010 is over, sources told DNA. A senior official in the security establishment said the government has been strongly advised not to think of any troop reduction for the next few months. According to a multi-agency centre where all intelligence and security agencies with a stake in Kashmir affairs consult together, there have been 499 infiltration attempts in 2009. Approximately 110 militants may have sneaked into the country, while others may have been killed or prevented from entering J&K. If the militants who have sneaked into India over the past few months get active, violence could go up by next summer, sources said. Typically, a militant takes about six months to start operations after sneaking into J&K. He first collects weapons, gets in touch with his contacts and familiarises himself with the terrain and area of operation. Despite the increase in infiltration in 2009, the level of violence had come down by 30%. Sources in the security establishment say that happened because of the lower infiltration levels in the previous year. According to official figures, 342 militants tried to enter India in 2008. Addressing the media here on January 14, the army chief too had pointed out the rise in infiltration. “Nearly 700 militants are poised to cross the LoC from the other side,” General Deepak Kapoor had said. He had also pointed out that the “terror infrastructure is active across the LoC, and is neither being dismantled nor curbed.'